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Source: Simplicius the Thinker
Today, we start with some economic news. There has been a spate of recent headlines decrying Russia’s economic elasticity and resilience: Several outlets this week are crying woe because they’ve crunched the numbers and have concluded that Russia is spending a comparatively tiny amount on the war, and that the U.S.’s Brzeszinski Redux plan to pull Russia into another Afghanistan-like quagmire is not working. The article goes on to state the following:
The headlines are all drawing from the same well of the Economist deep dive, which gives the following chart: Their article begins thusly:
What’s most interesting is that typically such articles would try desperately to find some ‘silver lining’ for their audience, expose some weakness by which Russia is actually being hurt despite these figures. But they were able to find nothing. The article gives reasons for why the expenditures are so low, which include:
So they’re admitting that Russia’s armed forces are so advanced that they need to spend relatively little money in order to decimate all of NATO in Ukraine? Their other reason does make a good point:
They attempt to frame this economic decision by Putin as something bad, yet clearly they’re tacitly agreeing with the wisdom of the decision, as they themselves state that the war is costing very little and Russia’s economy is balanced and unharmed. So where’s the rub? All they could find to gloat about was that Russia incurred many sanctions and lost energy dominance in Europe. But does it look like Russia is the worse for wear on that account? The quote at the end is interesting as well. It gives insight into many of the things we’ve discussed before, that Putin’s decisions around the SMO are tuned towards keeping the Russian economy strong as the primary concern. Some will balk and say, ‘well doesn’t he care about the lives of Russian servicemen, Donbass civilians, etc.! By slow-walking the war while privileging the economy, he’s causing more suffering and harm to the people!’ And it’s a fair point, it really is. Nothing in war is black and white, as I constantly remind you. There is no one perfect, silver bullet decision. Sure, Putin’s decisions have ramifications that are negative. But the overall positive likely outweighs them, in the long run at least. People who focus on the short term now are often incapable of projecting conflicts and geopolitical imperatives into the distant future. The truth is, making Russia economically powerful can bring far less overall harm and suffering in a grander, long-term timeline, but you have to take off your blinders to be able to see such a ‘gestalt’ perspective. Putin is preparing Russia for the long term plans that the West/NATO have in store for it, most people simply can’t extrapolate that far because they don’t have the facts or experience necessary to see what’s happening on the ground. The fact is, it’s clear that NATO is preparing much wider wars for Russia. They are setting the stage for a variety of conflicts to engulf the Russian borders with all neighboring hostile states. From Lithuania and Latvia to Poland (Kaliningrad provocations) to Kazakhstan, Georgia, and many more. This Ukraine conflict is just another small step in a much grander design. Putin is slowly and correctly developing Russia’s economic engine to withstand those future much more pernicious conflicts. As evidence of this, news from yesterday has updated us on some of Russia’s grander developments for its armed forces:
So, Russia is forming, by some accounts, two huge new army corps and two entire new military districts, which is huge news. This is part of Russia’s continued expansion under Shoigu’s directives to increase the total ground forces by something like 300k troops to a standard professional contract force of 600-700k ground troops. This follows other rumored tidbits like the following:
Don’t mind the hysterical tone of the above, but the news would coincide with the planned creation of new military districts, one being the Leningrad zone, which is precisely on the Finnish border that the above post mentions. The point is that, Russia is clearly preparing itself very calmly and methodically for much larger global conflicts on the horizon in the medium to long term future. I hate to say it, but the fact is, it’s looking more and more likely that the West will have no choice but to spark off a WW3 type scenario. The West is losing far too much ground far too fast, economically and by every other measure. Western economies are dying while Asia and China are ascendant. There are movements being made now that are so dangerous to the West as to threaten its existence. Months ago, when Brazil’s Lula had made a passive mention of a Brics currency, we all commented on it, but didn’t think too much of it. Now he’s outright calling for all South America to have its own currency; he’s doing what got Gaddafi killed by NATO. The West’s time is running out for their ability to control the world. Their hegemony relied on the Western financial system and its tentacular grip on every developing country of the ‘global south’. But now they’re being bypassed and obsoleted. For instance, just last week it was announced that China’s UnionPay has surpassed VISA for the first time in total global transactions:
While these formative, gestational events shake the bedrock of the world, Putin remains disciplined while calmly prosecuting a war he’s winning with a tiny fraction of his country’s resources. But I don’t want to alarm people too soon. I don’t think it’s yet written in stone that WW3 will in fact go down just because we are careening towards it. There’s still a decent amount of time left—particularly a few European election cycles—where I think the right political moves will stave off that outcome. But it will have to come down to citizens’ movements slowly throwing out their leaders over the next few years and electing ones capable of pumping the brakes. That’s much harder than it sounds, given that democracy no longer exists in the West and all Western countries’ election processes are likely fully compromised at this point, but there’s still a chance. The citizens clearly hate their leaders, just yesterday Scholz was widely booed by his people:
And that’s become more and more common of late: Now compare Russia’s economic situation to the great ‘debt ceiling debacle’ that’s chewed up headlines for weeks in the U.S., with its attendant impending catastrophies. Hell, it’s even now been confirmed that those rumors about senators receiving emergency satellite phones in case of a ‘disruptive event’ were in fact true: CBS now reports:
I guess not all kooky rumors turn out to be fake. But my point in making the parallel is simply to underscore the fact that Putin is creating order and livable harmony in his Russian society. You don’t see Russian Duma members being issued emergency phones for a ‘disruptive event’ nor citizens storming their capitol buildings, nor forecasters predicting catastrophe if an emergency debt bill isn’t passed. With that said, in other economic news, Russia has to some extent too much of a good problem, as oxymoronic as that sounds. It’s being reported that Russian unemployment has dropped to a record, historic low. This may sound like a great thing but Western press has sprung into action to find the hidden downside. Which is, according to them, that the unemployment is so low only because everyone is working and employers can’t find more unemployed people to staff needed positions. To some extent it’s true, though it’s difficult to say how much of a ‘bad thing’ this is exactly when your entire country has jobs. But specifically from the military lens, I had already written last month about how many Russian arms corporations are struggling to fill the positions in their expanded production lines. Since every arms manufacturer is now whizzing along at a minimum of a 3X shift increase, they’re reportedly having trouble filling all the new job openings. Of course, pro-Ukrainian press reports this being the fault of ‘low wages’ for these positions. However, most Russian arms manufacturers are located in rural Siberian regions, famously east of the Urals as per Stalin’s strategic withdrawal of Russian factories there during WW2 to keep them unreachable for German bombers. And so the wages are in fact commensurate with the regions they operate in, though they may be considered lower than average by Moscow’s standards. But the article above tries desperately to paint Russia’s record low unemployment in a bad light despite the fact that their own listed figures show Russia’s remarkable economic recovery:
This commenter encapsulated the truth of it: Meanwhile, Lockheed stock reportedly dropped precipitously on news of the Patriot’s terrible performance: Particularly given the fact that Russian MOD announced the destruction of another set of enemy air defenses in Kiev in last night’s strikes:
This was supported by footage which once again showed AD firing off into the night sky followed by a huge series of explosions on the ground, that silenced those sams: At around 1:40 in the above video, you can even see an AD missile arcing back into the ground after a possible hit on the launcher. Or it could be just another faulty Patriot, as usual.
Here’s another interesting post-op:
But back to the WW3 issue for a moment. One last thing that must be said though is there has in fact been a marked increase in ominously strong language from the Russian side which does give an unsettling image of where things are headed. As some may have seen, Medvedev has recently called for the total extinction of the Ukrainian state: And more troublingly, Russian Duma deputy and head of A Just Russia party, Oleg Nilov, has just stated that if Ukraine continues striking Russian cities, Russia will soon have to “unsheathe its tactical nukes”. Furthermore, some people have noted a shift in the ever-decorous and politic Putin, when he recently not only has begun referring to the West as “our once-partners” or “used to be partners”, but some have pointed out that in a recent statement, Putin has appeared to subtly hint at something when he referred to Ukraine as the “so-called state of Ukraine”. This may not sound like a lot, but to someone as tactful and politically-mannered as Putin, even small nuances of this sort could be layered in meaning and represent large shifts in policy. There’s been talk more and more about Russia’s red lines being crossed and that U.S. and the West don’t respect these ‘lines’ because Russia has not ‘acted’ in retaliation. I disagree with this premise, of course, but there is truth to the fact that there are certain escalations Ukraine is doing and can keep continuing to do for which there is no appropriate ‘answer’. For instance, shelling Russian cities and killing civilians cannot simply be answered in kind and Russia may at some point feel they have no choice but to show Ukraine’s handlers a real red line by popping off a tactical nuke somewhere as a statement. For now, though, we can argue about Russia’s retaliatory measures. For instance, Budanov has proudly taken responsibility for much of the asymmetrical terror actions against Russia recently. And now, new reports continue to come in that he was killed in the strikes on the GUR HQ. Some Ukrainian channel reportedly said his funeral is being planned and it is claimed the post was subsequently taken down. It’s most likely a fake psyop from one side or the other, but something to keep an eye on.
Yesterday, it was claimed that Budanov released a statement. But strangely, his ‘statement’ had nothing to do with the strikes on the GUR nor dispelling the rumors of his death, but was something oddly anachronistic about Crimea. In fact, it’s worthy of ridicule in its own right: On the left is when he claimed that Ukraine would enter Crimea long before the end of spring. On the right, his ‘new statement’ which claims that Ukraine did in fact already liberate Crimea—but you see, they did it psychologically. His satire-level reasoning is that, since Ukraine has engineered mass psychological worry and disturbance of the Crimean population, this is tantamount to having taken it entirely. Well, that’s all folks, nothing to see here, you can all go home, I guess. I suppose soon Zelensky will utilize the same tactic in proclaiming victory in his phantom offensive. Since they’ve established that simply bringing the specter of an offensive is consummate to physically carrying it out and winning, then all they have to do is make us believe it’s real and the war is over. Magical, huh? If only Manstein, Rommel, Guderian, and co., could have learned such a strategy, how the world would be different! Oh, and by the way, just for kicks here’s a list someone compiled of all the official predictions Budanov has made thus far since the start of the war:
Well, maybe by ‘return to Crimea’ he meant to express his hopes of being buried there. And speaking of the GUR HQ hit, several sources are now reporting a ‘confirmation’ that a new star has appeared in Langley’s CIA headquarters, on the wall representing agents slain in the line of duty:
It’s said that there was definitely 139 stars at the beginning of May, and suddenly after the GUR HQ strike, a 140th star has been printed ‘in honor of the fallen’. Interesting if true. I guess those emergency MedEvac flights out of Rzeszow weren’t fast enough. And another MI6 newswire:
Firstly, it is said that Wagner is getting a one month respite for the month of June. Now this report claims Wagner’s numbers will be doubled and they will be sent as operational reserve to whichever frontline Zelensky decides to toss his meat. On that note, there’ve been some things brewing as well. For instance, Wagner’s infamous commander Dmitry Utkin has gotten into a kerfuffle with Chechen commanders, including Kadyrov and Adam Delimkhanov. But first, before we even get to that, let’s clear something up. The Ukrainian narrative about this phantasmic character of Utkin is that he’s a famed Russian neo-Nazi, based on that one photo you’ve all seen, the bald, grimacing, shirtless guy with the SS tattoos on his shoulders. However, many sources indicate that that photo is fake and that is not Dmitry Utkin, and that in fact the guy on the left below is the real Utkin: As one Tweeter wrote:
There are very few photos of the real Utkin so it’s difficult to be 100% certain, however here are some other claimed photos of him from the Chechen war and/or Syrian conflict: These are just some of the claimed photos, but no one actually knows which guy he is, and some have stated that he’d previously had an interview with Russia’s Channel One (presumably by phone/writing) where he denied having any such tattoos as attributed to him by the one infamous photo. The fact is, he’s a shadowy right hand man to Prigozhin and stays out of the limelight and so it’s impossible to know for certain. Either way, he released a statement yesterday towards the Chechens. And without recounting the entire back and forth, as it’s simply not substantive enough to spend that much time on, there were simply disagreements and some apparent professional rivalry between Wagner and the Chechens, including counter-claims of who took more of Marinka and other cities, as well as Chechens being insulted by Prigozhin’s glib statement that he had no clue what frontline Chechens operate on and that he “hadn’t seen them anywhere”, which is equivalent to saying ‘they’re not doing anything.’ The arguments included Wagner’s other famed commander Lotus, but as of today it’s reportedly been patched up. Of course, the Ukrainian side wouldn’t let a little drama go to waste so they road its coat tails with fake propaganda about Wagner/Chechens getting into firefights and being at each other’s throats.
Of course, Prigozhin also couldn’t let the conflict go without adding his usual gibe:
As well as this unneeded parting statement:
Considering Prigozhin is Jewish, wouldn’t he be one of the ‘national minorities’ he’s ribbing here? But this is only relevant in light of recent news that the Chechens have been given full go ahead to storm and take Marinka. I reported on it last time as maybe just a shallow movement but it’s now there’s been signals from several authoritative sources that the next major action from the Russian side is in fact full capture of Marinka, which some predict will happen in the near future because of how many resources Russia is now suddenly pouring into it.
One Russian commander stated that Marinka needs to be captured in order to enable Russia’s further offensive developments in the area. In other frontline news, Russia inflicted some new strikes that reportedly hit a motherlode of troops:
What’s interesting is how, every time such a strike occurs, Ukraine naturally denies it or deflects. However, almost invariably much later on they own up to it and we learn the harsh truth. For instance, just recently last week, the AFU published this note of eulogy about a group of fighters killed in a strike long ago which they had denied at the time. Special forces ‘Safari’ regiment published the following about a strike last year which wiped out 23+ elite members: It only took them a year to fess up. In other news, Ukraine did manage to inflict some potentially successful strikes, as Berdiansk was hit by a barrage of missiles. Most of them were shot down, including Tochkas that were apparently used as decoys to oversaturate the AD, while the Storm Shadows did the main work. Shot down 9M79 Tochka missile: Above are the before and after satellite photos of the claimed hit on a Berdiansk port warehouse. Another:
Of course, it’s questionable of what importance that place was, which probably explains why they were able to hit it to begin with. Berdiansk is not exactly a central Russian military area and lightly has light defenses that can get overwhelmed. The town might very well have only one Pantsir-S1 type unit, while being under a wider S-300/400 umbrella from much farther off, like Mariupol, etc. There’s a reason why everytime you hear of a “major Ukrainian strike”, it’s always on some questionable backwater area. With that said, if it’s true that Storm Shadows were used rather than the Tochkas we actually have full confirmation by way of photos, then it only goes to prove that the SS’s are at least somewhat of a threat. And a new photo of an actual Su-24 sporting the SS’s under its wings has been released: As reported last time, Russia was said to have hit the Su-24 base near Khmelnitsky last week, possibly damaging/destroying anywhere between 2-5 planes depending on which report you believe. But they appear to still have some left. And for those doubting Russia’s abilities to strike these things, including Ukrainian AD, an interesting set of archival photos have also bubbled up to the spotlight. Not only this photo showing a huge Ukrainian S-300 base that was completely wiped out in the early part of the SMO: It appears to be an entire AD regiment with at least a couple battalions of units if not more, totally wiped out. And for each such ineffectual Ukrainian strike, Russia does dozens of its own. A litany of targets were hit yesterday and today, from Dnipropetrovsk to Khimprom plant in Slavyansk, to Iskander strikes on Kharkov. The other big news was another attempted incursion into Russia’s Belgorod region by the claimed ‘RDK’, which is the self-styled ‘Free Legion of Russia’, claimed to be Russian volunteers who’ve defected to the AFU. Of course, we know that to be bunk and most of the operative battalions are staffed with the usual bandit list of AFU, SBU, mercs, etc. However, this time Russia was more prepared and the assailants achieved even less than last time when they “invaded” 500 meters into Grayvoron before getting obliterated. For context, here are the two areas they’ve probed thus far: This time the “unarmed, untrained conscripts” which Ukraine claims are stationed by Putin on the border dealt an instantaneous blow to the mighty elite AFU units. The enemy’s tactics were well thought out: they used engineering vehicles to plow through a minefield while tanks and other support marched behind. But once the engineering vehicles themselves were taken out by mines then bombed, the others began to flee and many were hit in the process: A reported 50+ of Zelensky’s fodder were senselessly killed for another cheap PR stunt which failed. Videos of their bodies can be seen here (18+): Video Link (Alt Link). But it does give Western yellow press a chance to drum up fake stories, short-lived as they are, about Russian ‘panic’ and chaos in the border regions, none of which exists. Now, Belgorod and Kursk regions both are training new militias utilizing Wagner training regimens to defend from these very incursions: By the way, the problem with Ukrainian propagandists and the 2D bloggers who support them is that they don’t actually follow the war in depth. I happen to have my ear on the ground on both sides, and get a complete picture of what happens in incidents like the above. They’ll report about untrained conscripts and mass disorientation but they don’t see things like the post-op interviews with the actual participants, like this motor rifle soldier on the Russian side who took part in repelling the RDK attacks near Shebekino, and who reports the defense was organized and competent. Meanwhile, Zelensky continues to trot the globe and beg for increasingly ridiculous amounts of arms. He’s even now requesting 50 total Patriot batteries, on top of the 2 or 3 already given. Note that a battery has up to 8 launchers, so his request amounts to upwards of 400+ new launchers. What happened to the previous ones? That’s not to mention that a single Patriot battery costs over $1 billion: So he in effect wants $50B worth of Patriots, pronto. The Narco-Fuhrer also admitted that any new Ukrainian offensive would result in large amounts of casualties: It’s fascinating how the Russian air force, so often derided as useless is in actuality the most feared element to Ukrainians on the ground. Remember this? And what’s interesting is, most aviation discussions revolve solely around fixed wing craft comparisons, mostly because that’s the only arena Ukraine at least has some competing elements. But in rotary craft, i.e. attack choppers specifically, Ukraine has nothing to match Russia. And while Russian fighter-bombers do the most work against fixed targets like HQs, bunkers, etc., it can be argued that Russian attack helicopters like the Ka-52s, Mi-28s, Mi-24/35s, Mi-17s, etc., produce by far more results against mobile armor targets. And a new report confirms just this. It says that Russian Ka-52/Mi-28s armed with 9K121 Vikhr anti-tank guided missiles in fact kill more armor than ground systems like ATGMs. Even in the Grayvoron incursion a week or two ago, videos showed that Russian Ka-52s were the first to spring into action against the mixed AFU units long before any Russian reserves arrived on the ground. The AFU has nothing in this capacity: they retain some old Mi-8s that can shoot dumb-fire NAR rockets, but that’s a very long shot from the pinpoint accurate Russian guided missiles on Ka-52s/Mi-28s, etc. My point in saying this is, if and when the big ‘grand offensive’ actually comes, it will likely be Russian attack choppers that do most of the work in stopping the advance of armored units. Jet and fighter-bomber craft don’t really have much that can hit mobile armored units. The new UMPC glide bombs for instance are presumably GPS/Glonass guided which means they’re really only for hitting a static, pre-inputted coordinate. Similarly, Russian fighter-bomber craft can have various TV guided missiles like Kh-59s, Izdeliye 305Es, etc., but they’re not really ideal for that either, though they can be used for the purpose. It’s not efficient, as an Su-34 might fire off one TV-guided AGM and then have to circle around all while the co-pilot guides it to target. Then after circling, they can fire another one but by then the column might’ve driven behind tree cover. An attack helicopter can hover and observe just a few meters above tree cover from many kilometers away, then launch a sequential array of guided missiles at every vehicle in the column one by one without needing to ‘circle around’ or wasting time. They are basically highly mobile airborne ATGM units. Not to mention the fact that the Ka-52 can hold way more guided Vikhr missiles than a fighter-bomber can hold TV-guided AGMs. And the latest ‘M’ variants of Ka-52/Mi-28 can also shoot the same TV-guided LMUR 305Es anyway, so no matter how you look at it they’re a much more versatile platform for this purpose. There were talks about Ukraine potentially getting AH-64 Apaches from the U.S. to fill this one critical gap, but that seems to have fizzled out. So as of now, Ukraine has nothing in its arsenal that can match this one key battlefield disparity. Also, here’s an interesting report on Russian mining tactics in the Zaporozhye front, and how the AFU is trying to solve the issue before their ‘offensive’:
And speaking of equipment, a few updates on that front: Recall the new leak from last week about the broken down American Strykers sent to Ukraine. Apparently, that rumor too is indirectly confirmed with the new report that U.S. equipment drawn down from Kuwait to be sent to Ukraine was in fact largely FUBAR’d as well:
So basically, an audit found things like “all 6 of the M777s” and 25/29 of the M1167 vehicles from this stock were defective. It turns out the contractor was “not meeting their maintenance obligations” for over 19 months. The report startled the U.S. auditors because they found that if this equipment was in fact needed by the U.S. itself for emergency purposes, it would have likewise been unusable:
And as to the state of the disrepair, apparently it was so bad it was judged the M777 unit would have “killed somebody” if it was actually used in that state:
And that’s not an exaggeration; for anyone that’s familiar with the very spotty service history of the M777, they were known to constantly explode during use and have literally killed multiple service members in the past. From the M777’s own wiki page:
So this thing is dangerous to its crews even when its maintained, imagine using it when it hasn’t been serviced in 19 months. Just another of the many ‘wonderfully engineered’ American weapons systems, like the Patriot and F-35 before it. Meanwhile, old Soviet iron like the D-20 wheeled out from storage and hasn’t seen maintenance since 1957 still purrs like a baby when it fires. You can read the rest of the report for a laugh. It includes details on what was wrong with the M777s, including the fact that one of them caught fire when being moved because, they suspect, its brake fluid (what?) wasn’t changed. Jeez, are these things even made for war or what?
But the report doesn’t stop at M777s. The Humvees were rubbish too:
By the way, someone should show this to Trent “Tire Boy” Telenko:
He made an entire career in the early part of the SMO from a single autist thread detailing how Russia’s lack of tire care led to the failure of the entire invasion. Guess he should’ve checked his army’s own tires first. By the way, they list the labor expenses as $174,000 for the Humvee tire changes. Who wouldn’t love to be that mechanic? This sort of dovetails with another report about how four major Ukrainian arms firms failed to deliver any weapons after receiving hundreds of millions of dollars for the very purpose:
Just another tale of the endless corruption in Ukraine, which confirms long-suspected notions of why hundreds of billions of dollars were pumped into the country, yet we still see Ukrainian soldiers riding bicycles to the frontline. This also jibes with a new story about how American AT-4 anti-tank rocket launchers were now spotted with Mexican cartels, likely purchased from Ukraine on the Dark Web: It’s no surprise, of course, I’ve covered the videos of Ukrainians selling off their weapons for a long time now. Remember this one? And by the way, regarding the M777s, as some know, Oryx’s list has the M777 attrition at something near 20-30% with around 30 out of the total ~150 units destroyed. However, I’ve seen recent reports from the Russian side that in fact the number is closer to 90-100, which, if true, would leave only 40-50 or so of the units. This report is also telling:
Lastly, to touch on upcoming events. Rybar had this interesting report about NATO ELINT craft activity:
Not sure what to make of it yet, other than, as Rybar points out, this is a development to watch in light of the big Air Defender exercises starting on June 12, which many are expecting to coincide with a potential Ukrainian offensive. And as for the subsequent big NATO conference in Vilnius to take place in July, Zelensky is now blackmailing the West by threatening to not even attend if he doesn’t get what he wants: He says it’s pointless for Ukraine to even be there if NATO can’t promise them all sorts of unrealistic things, be it NATO membership or other major guarantees. But it did lead me to a new idea. Which is that it seems possible that all the current back and forth games surrounding the Ukrainian offensive could likewise be new, heavy-handed blackmail tactics from Zelensky. It seems he’s beginning to really sour with the Western leaders and may very well be threatening to hold off the offensive if major guarantees, like those of the F-16s, aren’t made. He knows that retaking ‘Ukrainian’ land is actually more important to the Eurocrats and their U.S. masters than it is even to Ukraine, so he’s able to stoke their fears and sort of wag the dog by playing the delaying game. If you pay attention, the way Ukrainian officials seem to be framing the narrative is: “if you don’t give us those F-16s, you won’t get your precious, bloody offensive!” The reason Zelensky and his brood are able to play this game much better now than ever before, is because at this point the treasonous leaders of each European country, which have utterly bankrupted their economies, ruined their people’s livelihoods, destroyed their countries’ futures all to do the bidding of their American masters in this fraudulent war, these false “leaders” are now between a rock and hard place. You see, they sold this war to their people as one of sacrifice for a major, monumental victory against Russia. The people ponied up and gave up their freedoms, livelihoods, and comforts in exchange for massive inflation and ruined economies all so that Ukraine can win. But now, if Ukraine were to actually lose, these traitorous frauds would be exposed to the pitchfork-bearing crowds as having thrown away their futures for nothing. Shrewd Zelensky likely knows this and is now using it against them. These so-called ‘leaders’ are now more beholden to their people than ever because they sold them this monstrous lie, and said it would all be worth it in the end. When this lie is exposed, it will end their careers and so now they’re scrambling desperately to ensure in any way they can that Ukraine’s offensive succeeds so they can complete that ‘sale’ to their people. Zelensky and co. have nothing to lose. His final trump card will be: “If I go down, you all go down with me.” After all, to some extent they sold him on a lie as well. I don’t think Zelensky is by nature cartoonishly evil. Recall that his entire political platform was one of compromise with Russia, and he spent years preaching that Ukraine should respect the Russian language and its ethnic citizens. Don’t get me wrong, he’s beyond forgiveness now. But I’m simply stating that from his perspective, these European leaders talked him into boldly confronting Russia, gaslighted him into believing he could do what Hitler, Napoleon, and Genghis Khan before him could not. This means Zelensky will be very angry when he becomes fully cognizant of the fact that he’s been sold out; and that anger will turn to vengeance. I believe we’re already seeing the first glimpses of that in these new threats to not attend the NATO summit. Recall, such opportunism is not uncommon to Ukrainian politicians. Long before him, it was Arestovich who threatened Europe by saying that, if Ukraine were to lose this war, they may end up joining Russia, and a newly experienced, combined Ukrainian-Russian army would sweep through all of Europe unchallenged. It reveals that Ukrainian politicians know fully well that they have leverage to hang over Europe’s head, too. In fact, I wouldn’t be surprised if, the closer Ukraine comes to losing, Zelensky or his administration were to begin dumping secret files or other ‘inconvenient’ or outright incriminating things about some of these leaders and their conduct so as to put their asses to the fire with their own citizens. It’s clear that rifts have been slowly forming, and that things are more tense than ever for Zelensky and his inner circle. Not only were we witness to this footage yesterday, where Luxembourg PM Xavier Bettel grew tired of Zelensky’s attempts to beg for support from Serbian president Vucic: But Zelensky’s own ‘handlers’ have been recently spotted growing quite exasperated with him themselves. Such as head of presidential office ‘Yermak’: Just look at their body language, who seems in charge to you? One other sundry item. Last time I reported on the destruction of Ukraine’s last naval ship, the Yuri Olefirenko. Now there appears to be some confirmation as, not only did satellites pick up what appears to be a keeled over ship in the Odessa harbor: But residents in the region report large amounts of oil and shiny gunk now polluting the waters as of this morning: Lastly, as of this writing the Russian Tu-95 Bears are up in the air and awaiting signal to launch another series of devastating strikes tonight. We’ll update next time on how it goes. I’ll leave you with this last image from Serbian protestors who now troll NATO/KFOR forces by scrawling giant Z’s on the walls in support of Russia: |
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